Introduction—The Consequences of Poor Decision-Making: Surgeries for All
In a landmark study involving decision-making, researchers asked a panel of three physicians to examine 389 boys to determine if they required a tonsillectomy. These physicians ascertained that 45% of the patients required the procedure, at which point the doctors were dismissed. A second three-physician panel was created and asked to examine the boys who were previously deemed healthy by the first panel (Backwin, 1945, as cited in Carroll & Johnson, 1991).
The second panel determined that 46% of the previously healthy boys needed the procedure. A third panel of doctors were then recruited to examine the 116 boys deemed healthy by the prior two panels of physicians. The third panel concluded that 44% of the twice previously screened boys required the surgical removal of their tonsils (Backwin, 1945, as cited in Carroll & Johnson, 1991).
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